Odds To Make The College Football Playoff 2023

Earning back-to-back championships, tags some high expectations for the Georgia Bulldogs, who entered the AP Poll preseason rankings as No. 1.  

But, the first stop to a national title is earning one of four spots in the CFP. 

Online sportsbooks have the Dawgs (-250), Ohio State Buckeyes (-125), Michigan Wolverines (+105) and Alabama Crimson Tide (+130) as the four favorites to fill the CFP spots this season. 

Who Leads Odds To Make The College Football Playoff?

Will They Make The 2023-24 College Football Playoff Odds
Team Odds To Make CFP Odds To Miss CFP
Georgia Bulldogs -250 +185
Ohio State Buckeyes -125 -105
Michigan Wolverines +105 -135
Alabama Crimson Tide +130 -170
USC Trojans +245 -350
Florida State Seminoles +290 -430
Penn State Nittany Lions +285 -420
Clemson Tigers +285 -420
Texas Longhorns +300 -450
LSU Tigers +320 -475
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +500 -900
Oregon Ducks +460 -800
Washington Huskies +575 -1100
Oklahoma Sooners +650 -1400
Tennessee Volunteers +625 -1300
Utah Utes +800 -2000
Wisconsin Badgers +850 -2500
Texas A&M Aggies +1100 -5000
North Carolina Tar Heels +2000 -10000
South Carolina Gamecocks +1800 -10000

Odds as of August 18

Georgia looking to continue dynasty

Two years ago, Georgia snapped a 40-year drought without a championship trophy. Now, Kirby Smart’s squad is looking to hoist it for the third-straight season. 

Since the start of the 2021 season, the Bulldogs have dropped just one meeting to carry a sparkling 29-1 record. Though Georgia will be filling holes NFL draftees, like QB Stetson Bennett and Jalen Carter, it’s a revolving door of talent eager to play for the college’s current best. 

But not to fret, the Dawgs still have top players on their leash, including the nation’s best tight end Brock Bowers. Here’s a few notable names returning to the offensive unit, which finished fourth with 41.6 PPG:

Key Returning Players To Georgia Football In 2023
Returning Player Position Receiving Yards (2022) Rushing Yards (2022) Total Touchdowns (2022)
Brock Bowers TE 942 109 10
Daijun Edwards RB 101 769 7
Kendall Milton RB 64 592 9
Ladd McConkey WR 762 134 9
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint WR 337 N/A 2

Georgia football is the most lethal program in the country right now until it proves otherwise. According to our odds calculator, -250 implies a 71.43% chance of the Dawgs seeing the CFP.

Which Team Is Providing Good Value To Make The CFP?

I’ve got a couple of options to make the CFP here that I’ve plucked off the oddsboard that provide some extra profit for your bank.

USC Trojans (+260)

The profit isn’t overwhelming, but it’s still there. There’s got to be some sort of advantage when you have last year’s Heisman Trophy winner tossing for you. Caleb Williams currently favored to win back-to-back awards for the first time since 1975, carried his team to an 11-3 record. It was the Trojans first winning record since 2017. 

The junior led the nation with 42 touchdowns, piled up over 4,500 passing yards and limited his errors by recording just five interceptions (ranked 16th). The 6-foot-1 signal-caller will be joined by some top recruits, including the No. 1 wide receiver of the 2023 class Zachariah Branch, who is known for nearly reaching Usain Bolt’s top speed. 

Clemson Tigers (+320)

The Tigers are desperate to get back into the playoffs. In the CFP era, Clemson was there each year from 2015-16 to 2020-21. Now, the Tigers haven’t clinched in back-to-back seasons. 

Perhaps the bad omen was quarterback DJ Uiagalelei, who transferred to the Oregon State Beavers, and his inconsistency. His final chance expired in the ACC game against North Carolina, where Uiagalelei managed just 10 yards. Then came Cade Klubnik to save the day.

The then-freshman, completed 83% of his tosses in the debut to push for the 39-10 win. The offseason preparation and training will only boost the young star. 

Let’s not forget the Tigers’ defense is a saving grace too, ranking 20th last season by allowing opponents 21.5 PPG. If you ask me, Clemson is long overdue to see the CFP again. I think it’ll be a revamped team this year.

Which Teams Have Made CFP? 

CFP Teams & Results Over Past 9 Seasons
Year No. 1 Seed No. 2 Seed No. 3 Seed No. 4 Seed Champion
2022-23 Georgia Bulldogs Michigan Wolverines TCU Horned Frogs Ohio State Buckeyes Georgia Bulldogs
2021-22 Alabama Crimson Tide Michigan Wolverines Georgia Bulldogs Cincinnati Bearcats Georgia Bulldogs
2020-21 Alabama Crimson Tide Clemson Tigers Ohio State Buckeyes Notre Dame Fighting Irish Alabama Crimson Tide
2019-20 LSU Tigers Ohio State Buckeyes Clemson Tigers Oklahoma Sooners LSU Tigers
2018-19 Alabama Crimson Tide Clemson Tigers Notre Dame Fighting Irish Oklahoma Sooners Clemson Tigers
2017-18 Clemson Tigers Oklahoma Sooners Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Alabama Crimson Tide
2016-17 Alabama Crimson Tide Clemson Tigers Ohio State Buckeyes Washington Huskies Clemson Tigers
2015-16 Clemson Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Michigan State Spartans Oklahoma Sooners Alabama Crimson Tide
2014-15 Alabama Crimson Tide Oregon Ducks Florida State Seminoles Ohio State Buckeyes Ohio State Buckeyes

College Football 2023 Win totals 

Obviously Georgia, currently favored to accomplish a three-peat in the national championship odds, has the highest win total. Here’s a look at the rest of the college football win totals already available for the 2023 NCAAF season:

2023 College Football Win Totals

2023 Regular-season NCAAF win totals
Team 2023 Win Total Line OVER UNDER 2022 Record
Alabama Crimson Tide 10.5 +140 -165 11-2
Army Black Knights 6 +105 -130 6-6
Baylor Bears 7.5 +135 -170 6-7
Colorado Buffaloes 3 -105 -115 1-11
Clemson Tigers 9.5 -140 +120 11-3
Florida Gators 5.5 -105 -115 6-7
Georgia Bulldogs 11.5 +130 -150 15-0
Kansas Jayhawks 6.5 +130 -150 6-7
Kansas State Wildcats 8.5 +110 -130 10-4
Kentucky Wildcats 6.5 -145 +125 7-6
Liberty Flames 9.5 +140 -165 8-5
LSU Tigers 9.5 +110 -130 10-4
Michigan Wolverines 10.5 -105 -115 13-1
Michigan State Spartans 5.5 +130 -150 5-7
Mississippi State Bulldogs 6.5 +115 -135 7-6
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9 +110 -130 9-4
Ohio State Buckeyes 10.5 -105 -115 11-2
Oklahoma Sooners 9.5 -115 -105 6-7
Ole Miss Rebels 6.5 +100 -120 8-5
Oregon Ducks 9.5 +100 -120 10-3
Oregon State Beavers 8 -135 +115 10-3
Penn State Nittany Lions 9.5 -130 +110 11-2
Syracuse Orange 6.5 +105 -125 7-6
TCU Horned Frogs 7.5 -125 +115 13-2
Tennessee Volunteers 9.5 +130 -150 11-2
Texas Longhorns 9.5 -115 -105 8-5
Texas A&M Aggies 7.5 -150 +130 5-7
Texas Tech Red Raiders 7.5 +120 -140 8-5
UCLA Bruins 8.5 +110 -130 9-4
USC Trojans 9.5 -165 +140 11-3
Utah Utes 8.5 +125 -145 10-4

Odds as of August 3

After all we’ve talked about above, it’s not a shock the Bulldogs have the highest win total set at 11.5 victories. 

College Football Win Totals To Bet On

After crunching numbers, here’s a quick recap of the best win total bets. If you’re looking for a deeper explanation, check out our complete win total page!

Colorado Buffaloes OVER 3 Wins 

New head coach Deion Sanders is about to turn this program upside down and after finishing last season 1-11, it’s hard to imagine the Buffaloes get worse. 

Based on his recent resume at Jackson State, Sanders doesn’t take his time rebuilding. I expect the Buffaloes to manage the 3 wins total and could predict them against  Nebraska Cornhuskers (Week 2), Colorado State Rams (Week 3), Arizona State Sun Devils (Week 6), Stanford Cardinal (Week 7) or the Arizona Wildcats (Week 10).

Notre Dame OVER 9 wins

Sam Hartman, an early Heisman Trophy favorite, is looking like Notre Dame’s saving grace. Finally, the Fighting Irish have a veteran, consistent leader behind the snap.

The Wake Forest transfer completed over 63 percent of his tosses in his last season with the Demon Deacons. He posted over 3,700 yards and 38 touchdowns, which pushed him to hold the ACC record in passing touchdowns (110).

Odds to go undefeated in 2023

It’s not easy, but it’s possible for the best in college football to shine with a perfect record. As always, a full breakdown is at our odds to go undefeated page.

2023 NCAAF Odds to Go Undefeated
Team Yes No
Alabama Crimson Tide +425 -700
Clemson Tigers +425 -700
Florida State Seminoles +800 -2000
LSU Tigers +675 -1500
Michigan Wolverines +425 -700
North Carolina Tar Heels +2000 -10000
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1000 -4000
Ohio State Buckeyes +330 -500
Oklahoma Sooners +675 -1500
Oregon Ducks +800 -2000
Penn State Nittany Lions +800 -2000
Tennessee Volunteers +1000 -4000
Texas Longhorns +800 -2000
USC Trojans +500 -900
Washington Huskies +800 -2000

Odds as of August 3

Only two groups finished last regular season with undefeated records, the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) and the Dawgs (13-0), who went on to win the national title.

Michigan Wolverines (+425)

Since returning from the mess of 2020, the Big Blue have gone 25-3 under Jim Harbaugh. The back-to-back Big 10 champions return to the field this year with the same shining stars in QB J.J. McCarthy and RB Blake Corum, who should be healthier than ever before. 

USC Trojans (+500)

The Trojans were a lot better than what their 11-3 record last year shows. USC should’ve competed in the CFP and it’s a shame we didn’t witness Williams in playoff glory. But, maybe this year we can catch him and Branch put on a show for us. Another group moving onto an intimidating Big 10 conference, USC will want to prove it has what it takes to compete.

How To Read College Football Playoff Odds

At any sportsbook, you’ll see College Football Playoff (CFP) odds listed like so:

Alabama Crimson Tide: YES -260, NO +200

If you’re looking at Alabama’s odds to make it to the postseason at -260 and decided to bet $100 on them, you’d get a payout of $138.46 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $38.46. On the other hand, if you think they will not make the playoffs at +200, that same $100 would get you $300 – you get your $100 back coupled with your prize of $200. Our odds calculator will tell you what you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

Some sportsbooks only have YES odds to make the college football playoff, especially as we get deeper into the season.

What Is A Futures Bet On NCAA Football?

When you wager on a team’s postseason chances, it’s called a futures bet. This is a bet on events that will happen in time. It can be said that all sports betting is on events that have yet to occur; however, futures can be made weeks or months in advance instead of prior to game day. You could take Clemson to miss the CFP before college football season even starts.

Oddsmakers will adjust the lines as more games are played and teams rise and fall in the standings. We suggest jumping on odds early, so you don’t miss out on great lines. If you wait until closer to bowl season, you could be stuck with odds that don’t have any value.

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